Title
Movie release strategy: Theory and evidence from international distribution
Date Issued
01 April 2020
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Blackwell Publishing Inc.
Abstract
Choosing the right time to release a new movie may be the difference between success and failure. Prior research states that the “bigger” a blockbuster is, the more likely it is (and should be) released during a high-demand week. We present a theoretical framework which is consistent with this observation but adds a rather surprising theoretical prediction: among non-blockbuster (i.e., niche) movies, everything else constant, the greater a movie's appeal, the more likely it is released during a low-demand week. In other words, the relation between movie appeal and high-demand-week release is U-shaped: it decreases at low levels of overall appeal (niche movies) and increases at high levels of overall appeal (blockbusters). We provide intuition for this novel result and argue that it is robust to a number of changes in functional form assumptions. We then show that the theoretical results are consistent with the evidence from an extensive data set on international releases. Specifically, we run a series of movie-country-pair regressions with high-demand-week-release as a dependent variable and exogenous shocks to the movie's appeal as an explanatory variable. As predicted by theory, the regression coefficients have opposite signs for the blockbuster and non-blockbuster cases.
Start page
276
End page
288
Volume
29
Issue
2
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía Artes de la representación (musicología, ciencias del teatro, dramaturgia)
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85079707607
Source
Journal of Economics and Management Strategy
ISSN of the container
10586407
Sponsor(s)
We are grateful to audiences at Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Universidad de Piura, the 2017 Mallen conference on the Economics of Filmed Entertainment, the 2018 Munich Summer Institute, and to Justin Tumlinson (discussant) for comments on previous drafts. We are grateful to Cristián Figueroa, Walter Noel, Leandro Pezán, Juan Ferrer, and Mariagracia Gálvez for valuable research assistance. Last but not least, we thank the coeditor and especially a referee for extensive comments and suggestions which had a substantial impact on the paper's revision process. We alone remain responsible for any remaining errors and deficiencies.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus