Title
Management of inflow forecasting studies
Date Issued
01 June 2015
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Hidalgo I.G.
Barbosa P.S.F.
Francato A.L.
Correia P.B.
Pedro P.S.M.
Universidad Estatal de Campinas
Publisher(s)
IWA Publishing
Abstract
In hydroelectric systems, water inflow is important to coordinate a cascade and define the energy price. This paper presents a method for managing inflow forecasting studies with a specific module for advanced assessment. The main goal is to provide a structure that facilitates the analysis of water inflow prediction models. A case study has been applied to five mathematical models based on linear regression, artificial neural networks, and hydrologic simulation. These models present daily and monthly inflow forecasts for a set of hydroelectric plants and monitoring stations. The benefits of the proposed method are analyzed in four situations: water inflow prediction, performance evaluation of a specific model, research tool for inflow forecasting, and comparison tool for distinct models. The results show that implementation of the proposed method provides a useful tool for managing inflow forecasting studies and analyzing models. Therefore, it can assist researchers and engineering professionals alike by improving the quality of water inflow predictions.
Start page
402
End page
408
Volume
10
Issue
2
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84930421051
Source
Water Practice and Technology
ISSN of the container
1751231X
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus