Title
The future of food: Scenarios for 2050
Date Issued
01 March 2010
Access level
open access
Resource Type
research article
Author(s)
Hubert B.
Rosegrant M.
van Boekel M.A.J.S.
Ortiz R.
Publisher(s)
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
Abstract
This background article addresses key challenges of adequately feeding a population of 9 billion by 2050, while reserving the agroecosystems from which other services are also expected. One of the scenario-buildings uses the grimonde platform, which considers the following steps: choosing the scenarios and their underlying building rinciples, eveloping quantitative scenarios, and building complete scenarios by combining quantitative scenarios with qualitative hypotheses. These scenarios consider how food issues link to production, for example, the percentage of animal vs. vegetal calorie intake in the full diet. The fi rst section of this article discusses Agrimonde GO and Agrimonde 1 cenarios, which indicate that global economic growth and ecological intensifi cation remain as main challenges for feeding the earth’s growing population toward the mid-21st century. The second section provides the outcomes of the analysis of alternative futures for agricultural supply and demand and food security to 2050, based on research done or the International Assessment of Agricultural Science and Technology for Development. The last section of this rticle provides a summary analysis of food systems and functions, as well as the role of food technology that address some of the global challenges affecting the supply of more nutritious and healthy diets. It also highlights the food production by novel means (e.g., alternatives for animal products based on plant materials) and increasing the presence of potentially health-promoting compounds in food to improve human and animal health. Finally, this article proposes priority areas that should be included in further agri-food research.
Start page
33
End page
50
Volume
50
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Agricultura
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84920098323
Source
Crop Science
ISSN of the container
0011183X
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus