Title
Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
Date Issued
21 October 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Frontiers Media S.A.
Abstract
In the face of global change, the exploration of possible futures of marine social-ecological systems (MSES) becomes increasingly important. A variety of models aims at improving our understanding of ecosystem dynamics and complexities by assessing how systems react to internal and external drivers of change. However, these models are often built from a natural-science perspective through a reductionist and top-down knowledge production process that does not engage with the interests, concerns and knowledge of stakeholders. Our work explores different futures of the Peruvian MSES tied to the Humboldt Current Upwelling System (HCUS) through a sequential integrative participatory scenario process. The methodology used opens novel ways to explore, at different contextual levels, the uncertainties of the future and, in doing so, to include diverging world views of different actors. This approach implies a broader social processing of scientific projections about the future and encourages the articulation of different notions of sustainability. We thereby contribute to current scientific discussions on scenario planning in MSES by exploring potential futures through the analysis of narratives, a process that helps to identify plausible future development pathways that can inform different types of ecosystem modeling or policy making.
Volume
7
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Acuicultura
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85095451507
Source
Frontiers in Marine Science
ISSN of the container
2296-7745
Sponsor(s)
Our thanks go to all the people who kindly participated in our research: in our online surveys, personal interviews, workshops and focus group discussions. Special thanks to IMARPE for hosting and helping in the organization of the workshop in Lima. Also, special thanks to our colleagues from the project for this. Finally, thanks to all the fishers attending the FGD for their commitment and valuable help in its organization. Funding. This manuscript was prepared as part of the bilateral project “Social-Ecological Tipping Points of the Northern Humboldt Current Upwelling System, Economic Repercussions and Governance Strategies” (Humboldt Tipping, https://humboldt-tipping.org/) funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) within the framework of the international and Interdisciplinary programme “EcoBiological Tipping Points (BioTip)” (https://www.fona.de/en/measures/funding-measures/biotip.php) through the grant 01LC1823E.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus