Title
ShakeOut-D: Ground motion estimates using an ensemble of large earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault with spontaneous rupture propagation
Date Issued
28 February 2009
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Olsen K.B.
Day S.M.
Mayhew J.
Cui Y.
Zhu J.
Cruz-Atienza V.M.
Roten D.
Maechling P.
Jordan T.H.
Okaya D.
Chourasia A.
Institute of Geophysics
Abstract
We simulate ground motion in southern California from an ensemble of 7 spontaneous rupture models of large (Mw7.8) northwest-propagating earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault (ShakeOut-D). Compared to long-period spectral accelerations from the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) empirical relations, ShakeOut-D predicts similar average rock-site values (i.e., within roughly their epistemic uncertainty), but significantly larger values in Los Angeles and Ventura basins due to wave-guide focusing effects. The ShakeOut-D ground motion predictions differ from those of a kinematically parameterized, geometrically similar, scenario rupture: (1) the kinematic rock-site predictions depart significantly from the common distance-attenuation trend of the NGA and ShakeOut-D results and (2) ShakeOut-D predictions of long-period spectral acceleration within the basins of the greater Los Angeles area are lower by factors of 2-3 than the corresponding kinematic predictions. We attribute these differences to a less coherent wavefield excited by the complex rupture paths of the ShakeOut-D sources. Citation: Olsen, K. B., et al. (2009), ShakeOut-D: Ground motion estimates using an ensemble of large earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault with spontaneous rupture propagation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04303, doi:10.1029/ 2008GL036832. © 2009 by the American Geophysical Union.
Volume
36
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
GeoquÃmica, GeofÃsica
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-66149192648
Source
Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN of the container
00948276
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción CientÃfica
Scopus