Title
Sovereign default, political instability and political fragmentation
Date Issued
01 September 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Abstract
This paper studies sovereign borrowing and default in an economy in which self-interested political parties bargain over the budget and there is political turnover. The model generates an endogenous distribution of resources that depends on borrowing decisions, and policymakers become short-sighted. The party in power, as well as the coalition members, obtain a higher share of aggregate consumption as leverage increases. Very small changes in these shares generate non-negligible shifts in the default/repayment sets. This mechanism provides an explanation for why governments increase their leverage and default more frequently, in comparison to a model with a constant distribution of resources.
Start page
732
End page
755
Volume
29
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Econometría
Economía
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85092089459
Source
Review of International Economics
ISSN of the container
09657576
Sponsor(s)
I am indebted to Roberto Chang for his guidance and advice. I have benefited from insightful comments by Todd Keister, Michael D. Bordo, Colin Campbell, Marina Azzimonti, Leonardo Martinez, Federico Mandelman and Cristina Fuentes-Albero. I also thank participants at Rutgers, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, CIDE, Universidad del Pacífico, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, the 2015 Spring Midwest Macro Meetings (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis & Washington U.), the Georgetown Center for Economic Research Biennial Conference 2015, the XX Lacea Annual Meeting and the 2017 Annual Congress of the European Economic Association. Part of this work was completed at the research department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; I gratefully acknowledge the hospitality and financial support they so generously provided.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus