Title
Modeling the seismic cycle in subduction zones: The role and spatiotemporal occurrence of off-megathrust earthquakes
Date Issued
28 February 2014
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Van Dinther Y.
Mai P.M.
Gerya T.V.
Swiss Seismological Service
Publisher(s)
American Geophysical Union
Abstract
Shallow off-megathrust subduction events are important in terms of hazard assessment and coseismic energy budget. Their role and spatiotemporal occurrence, however, remain poorly understood. We simulate their spontaneous activation and propagation using a newly developed 2-D, physically consistent, continuum, viscoelastoplastic seismo-thermo-mechanical modeling approach. The characteristics of simulated normal events within the outer rise and splay and normal antithetic events within the wedge resemble seismic and seismological observations in terms of location, geometry, and timing. Their occurrence agrees reasonably well with both long-term analytical predictions based on dynamic Coulomb wedge theory and short-term quasi-static stress changes resulting from the typically triggering megathrust event. The impact of off-megathrust faulting on the megathrust cycle is distinct, as more both shallower and slower megathrust events arise due to occasional off-megathrust triggering and increased updip locking. This also enhances tsunami hazards, which are amplified due to the steeply dipping fault planes of especially outer rise events. Key Points Simulated spontaneous outer rise and wedge events agree geometrically with nature Stress transfer and dynamic Coulomb wedge theory explain their occurrence They increase megathrust event recurrence and complexity, and tsunami hazard ©2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
Start page
1194
End page
1201
Volume
41
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Geotecnia Geoquímica, Geofísica
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84894557917
Source
Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN of the container
00948276
Sponsor(s)
Swiss National Science Foundation - 200021-125274.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus