Title
ENSO regimes: Reinterpreting the canonical and Modoki El Nio
Date Issued
01 May 2011
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Abstract
We propose that the first two empirical orthogonal function (EOF) modes of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies do not describe different phenomena (i.e., El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and "El Nio Modoki") but rather the nonlinear evolution of ENSO. We introduce two new uncorrelated indices (E and C), based on the leading EOFs, that respectively account for extreme warm events in the eastern and cold/moderate warm events in the central equatorial Pacific, corresponding to regimes with different evolution. Recent trends in ENSO can be described as an increase in the central Pacific (C) variability that is associated with stronger cold events, as well as a reduction in the eastern Pacific (E) variability within the cold/moderate warm regime, consistent with model projections. However, little can be said observationally with respect to the extreme warm regime. Copyright 2011 by the American Geophysical Union.
Volume
38
Issue
10
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-79957948430
Source
Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN of the container
00948276
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus