Title
Derivation and Validation of a Novel Severity Scoring System for Pneumonia at Intensive Care Unit Admission
Date Issued
2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Carmo T.A.
Ferreira I.B.
Menezes R.C.
Telles G.P.
Otero M.L.
Fukutani K.F.
Neto L.P.
Agareno S.
Filgueiras Filho N.M.
Andrade B.B.
Akrami K.M.
Instituto Goncalo Moniz
Publisher(s)
Oxford University Press
Abstract
Background: Severity stratification scores developed in intensive care units (ICUs) are used in interventional studies to identify the most critically ill. Studies that evaluate accuracy of these scores in ICU patients admitted with pneumonia are lacking. This study aims to determine performance of severity scores as predictors of mortality in critically ill patients admitted with pneumonia. Methods: Prospective cohort study in a general ICU in Brazil. ICU severity scores (Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 [SAPS 3] and Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment [qSOFA]), prognostic scores of pneumonia (CURB-65 [confusion, urea, respiratory rate, blood pressure, age] and CRB-65 [confusion, respiratory rate, blood pressure, age]), and clinical and epidemiological variables in the first 6 hours of hospitalization were analyzed. Results: Two hundred patients were included between 2015 and 2018, with a median age of 81 years (interquartile range, 67-90 years) and female predominance (52%), primarily admitted from the emergency department (65%) with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP, 80.5%). SAPS 3, CURB-65, CRB-65,and qSOFA all exhibited poor performance in predicting mortality. Multivariate regression identified variables independently associated with mortality that were used to develop a novel pneumonia-specific ICU severity score (Pneumonia Shock score) that outperformed SAPS 3, CURB-65, and CRB-65. The Shock score was validated in an external multicenter cohort of critically ill patients admitted with CAP. Conclusions: We created a parsimonious score that accurately identifies patients with pneumonia at highest risk of ICU death. These findings are critical to accurately stratify patients with severe pneumonia in therapeutic trials that aim to reduce mortality.
Start page
942
End page
949
Volume
72
Issue
6
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Sistema respiratorio
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85102963951
PubMed ID
Source
Clinical Infectious Diseases
ISSN of the container
10584838
Sponsor(s)
The work of B. B. A. was supported by the National Institutes of Health (grant number U01AI115940). K. F. F. received a fellowship from the Programa Nacional de Pós-Doutorado/Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nivel Superior
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus