Title
Outcomes and Mortality Prediction Model of Critically Ill Adults With Acute Respiratory Failure and Interstitial Lung Disease
Date Issued
01 June 2018
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Gannon W.D.
Lederer D.J.
Biscotti M.
Javaid A.
Patel N.M.
Brodie D.
Bacchetta M.
Columbia University
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Inc
Abstract
Background: We aimed to examine short- and long-term mortality in a mixed population of patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) with acute respiratory failure, and to identify those at lower vs higher risk of in-hospital death. Methods: We conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study of 126 consecutive adults with ILD admitted to an ICU for respiratory failure at a tertiary care hospital between 2010 and 2014 and who did not undergo lung transplantation during their hospitalization. We examined associations of ICU-day 1 characteristics with in-hospital and 1-year mortality, using Poisson regression, and examined survival using Kaplan-Meier curves. We created a risk score for in-hospital mortality, using a model developed with penalized regression. Results: In-hospital mortality was 66%, and 1-year mortality was 80%. Those with connective tissue disease-related ILD had better short-term and long-term mortality compared with unclassifiable ILD (adjusted relative risk, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-0.9; and relative risk, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.4-0.9, respectively). Our prediction model includes male sex, interstitial pulmonary fibrosis diagnosis, use of invasive mechanical ventilation and/or extracorporeal life support, no ambulation within 24 h of ICU admission, BMI, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score-II. The optimism-corrected C-statistic was 0.73, and model calibration was excellent (P =.99). In-hospital mortality rates for the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were 33%, 65%, and 96%, respectively. Conclusions: We created a risk score that classifies patients with ILD with acute respiratory failure from low to high risk for in-hospital mortality. The score could aid providers in counseling these patients and their families.
Start page
1387
End page
1395
Volume
153
Issue
6
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Medicina general, Medicina interna
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85044307756
PubMed ID
Source
Chest
ISSN of the container
00123692
Source funding
National Institute on Aging
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus