Title
Risk scores for type 2 diabetes mellitus in Latin America: a systematic review of population-based studies
Date Issued
01 December 2019
Access level
open access
Resource Type
review
Publisher(s)
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Abstract
Aim: To summarize the evidence on diabetes risk scores for Latin American populations. Methods: A systematic review was conducted (CRD42019122306) looking for diagnostic and prognostic models for type 2 diabetes mellitus among randomly selected adults in Latin America. Five databases (LILACS, Scopus, MEDLINE, Embase and Global Health) were searched. type 2 diabetes mellitus was defined using at least one blood biomarker and the reports needed to include information on the development and/or validation of a multivariable regression model. Risk of bias was assessed using the PROBAST guidelines. Results: Of the 1500 reports identified, 11 were studied in detail and five were included in the qualitative analysis. Two reports were from Mexico, two from Peru and one from Brazil. The number of diabetes cases varied from 48 to 207 in the derivations models, and between 29 and 582 in the validation models. The most common predictors were age, waist circumference and family history of diabetes, and only one study used oral glucose tolerance test as the outcome. The discrimination performance across studies was ~ 70% (range: 66–72%) as per the area under the receiving-operator curve, the highest metric was always the negative predictive value. Sensitivity was always higher than specificity. Conclusion: There is no evidence to support the use of one risk score throughout Latin America. The development, validation and implementation of risk scores should be a research and public health priority in Latin America to improve type 2 diabetes mellitus screening and prevention.
Start page
1573
End page
1584
Volume
36
Issue
12
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Endocrinología, Metabolismo (incluyendo diabetes, hormonas)
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85071891275
PubMed ID
Source
Diabetic Medicine
ISSN of the container
07423071
Sponsor(s)
Strategic Award, Wellcome Trust-Imperial College Centre for Global Health Research (100693/Z/12/Z). Imperial College London Wellcome Trust Institutional Strategic Support Fund [Global Health Clinical Research Training Fellowship] (294834/Z/16/Z ISSF ICL). Rodrigo M Carrillo-Larco is supported by a Wellcome Trust International Training Fellowship (214185/Z/18/Z). The funder had no role in the conception of this work, neither in the preparation or presentation of results. The authors are responsible for the results and opinions in this work.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus