Title
Epidemiology of dengue virus in iquitos, Peru 1999 to 2005: Interepidemic and epidemic patterns of transmission
Date Issued
01 May 2010
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Morrison A.
Minnick S.
Forshey B.
Stoddard S.
Getis A.
Focks D.
Russell K.
Olson J.
Blair P.
Watts D.
Scott T.
Kochel T.
Destacamento del Centro de Investigaciones Médicas Navales
Abstract
Background: Comprehensive, longitudinal field studies that monitor both disease and vector populations for dengue viruses are urgently needed as a pre-requisite for developing locally adaptable prevention programs or to appropriately test and license new vaccines. Methodology and Principal Findings: We report the results from such a study spanning 5 years in the Amazonian city of Iquitos, Peru where DENV infection was monitored serologically among ~2,400 members of a neighborhood-based cohort and through school-based absenteeism surveillance for active febrile illness among a subset of this cohort. At baseline, 80% of the study population had DENV antibodies, seroprevalence increased with age, and significant geographic variation was observed, with neighborhood-specific age-adjusted rates ranging from 67.1 to 89.9%. During the first 15 months, when DENV-1 and DENV-2 were co-circulating, population-based incidence rates ranged from 2-3 infections/100 person-years (pyears). The introduction of DENV-3 during the last half of 2001 was characterized by 3 distinct periods: amplification over at least 5-6 months, replacement of previously circulating serotypes, and epidemic transmission when incidence peaked at 89 infections/100 p-years. Conclusions/Significance: Neighborhood-specific baseline seroprevalence rates were not predictive of geographic incidence patterns prior to the DENV-3 introduction, but were closely mirrored during the invasion of this serotype. Transmission varied geographically, with peak incidence occurring at different times among the 8 geographic zones in ~16 km2 of the city. The lag from novel serotype introduction to epidemic transmission and knowledge of spatially explicit areas of elevated risk should be considered for more effective application of limited resources for dengue prevention.
Volume
4
Issue
5
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Zoología, Ornitología, Entomología, ciencias biológicas del comportamiento Epidemiología
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-77955296891
PubMed ID
Source
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Sponsor(s)
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases R01AI042332
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus