Title
Inflation, money, and real GDP in Mexico: A causality analysis
Date Issued
15 March 2004
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Shelley G.
Universidad de Quintana Roo
Abstract
The relation between inflation, M1 money, and real GDP in Mexico is examined using annual data from 1944 to 1991. When investigating the relation between changes in inflation and real GDP growth it is found that it is important to separate the changes in inflation into predictable and unpredictable components. Predictable increases in differenced inflation are found to have a significant, negative effect on real GDP growth. Unpredictable increases in differenced inflation are found to have a significant, positive effect on real GDP growth. In contrast, changes in M1 growth fail to Granger-cause real GDP growth even when the changes in money growth are divided into predictable and unpredictable components. © 2004 Taylor and Francis Ltd.
Start page
223
End page
225
Volume
11
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía
Econometría
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-1842688257
Source
Applied Economics Letters
ISSN of the container
13504851
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus