Title
Modeling the effects of explicit urban canopy representation on the development of thunderstorms above a tropical Mega City
Date Issued
01 July 2019
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
Abstract
The effects of an explicit three dimensional (3D) urban canopy representation on the development of convective thunderstorms were analyzed with the tropical town energy budget (tTEB) scheme integrated into the advanced regional prediction system (ARPS). The study provides a detailed description of the procedure to couple the system ARPS-tTEB and analyzed the simulation results of the 12 January 2015 sea-breeze event that developed a severe thunderstorm above the metropolitan area of São Paulo (MASP), Brazil. The simulation used realistic boundary and initial conditions from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and sea surface temperature (SST) from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM). The system ARPS-tTEB runs of up to 3 km horizontal resolution were carried out with high resolution topography features and land-use types currently available for Southeastern Brazil. The simulated spatial distribution of precipitation was verified against the Climate Prediction Center Morphing Technique (CMORPH), the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) and the São Paulo weather radar (SPWR) precipitation estimates by indexes scores. Time series of grid precipitation estimates (ARPS-tTEB and SPWR) and point measurements (rain gauges) were evaluated with a Bayesian statistical method. Results indicate that the urban area of the MASP modulates the precipitation spatial distribution over it. Furthermore, phase and amplitude precipitation accuracy increased with the 3D urban canyon and the urban energy budget scheme in relationship to control runs without urban environment effects.
Volume
10
Issue
7
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería ambiental y geológica
Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos
Ingeniería oceanográfica
Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85068923333
Source
Atmosphere
ISSN of the container
20734433
Sponsor(s)
Author Contributions: For the present work, the contributions were distributed as follows: “conceptualization, J.L.F.-R. and A.J.P.-F.; methodology, J.L.F.-R., H.A.K. and V.M.; software, A.J.P.-F. and J.L.F.-R.; validation, J.L.F.-R., A.J.P.-F. and F.V.; formal analysis, J.L.F.-R. and F.V.; investigation, J.L.F.-R., H.A.K. and V.M.; resources, A.J.P.-F., H.A.K. and F.V.; data curation, J.L.F.-R. and F.V.; writing—original draft preparation, J.L.F.-R.; writing—review and editing, J.L.F.-R.; visualization, J.L.F.-R. and F.V.; supervision, A.J.P.-F., H.A.K. and V.M.; project administration, A.J.P.-F. and F.Y.S.-V.; funding acquisition, A.J.P.-F. and F.Y.S.-V.” Funding: The authors wish to thank to CNPQ agency (Grant 302349/20146) for providing financial support during the period of research. The second author is sponsored by Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) (Grant 302349/2017-6).
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus