Title
Data-driven deep-learning forecasting for oil production and pressure
Date Issued
01 March 2022
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Werneck R.d.O.
Prates R.
Moura R.
Gonçalves M.M.
Castro M.
Ribeiro Mendes Júnior P.
Hossain M.M.
Zampieri M.F.
Ferreira A.
Davólio A.
Schiozer D.
Rocha A.
University of Campinas
Publisher(s)
Elsevier B.V.
Abstract
Production forecasting plays an important role in oil and gas production, aiding engineers to perform field management. However, this can be challenging for complex reservoirs such as the highly heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs from Brazilian Pre-salt fields. We propose a new setup for forecasting multiple outputs using machine-learning algorithms and evaluate a set of deep-learning architectures suitable for time-series forecasting. The setup proposed is called N-th Day and it provides a coherent solution for the problem of forecasting multiple data points in which a sliding window mechanism guarantees there is no data leakage during training. We also devise four deep-learning architectures for forecasting, stacking the layers to focus on different timescales, and compare them with different existing off-the-shelf methods. The obtained results confirm that specific architectures, as those we propose, are crucial for oil and gas production forecasting. Although LSTM and GRU layers are designed to capture temporal sequences, the experiments also indicate that the investigated scenario of production forecasting requires additional and specific structures.
Volume
210
Number
109937
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería del Petróleo, (combustibles, aceites), Energía, Combustibles
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85121978415
Source
Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering
ISSN of the container
09204105
Sponsor(s)
Schlumberger Foundation
Shell Brasil
This work was conducted in association with the ongoing Project registered under ANP number 21373-6 as “Desenvolvimento de Técnicas de Aprendizado de Máquina para Análise de Dados Complexos de Produção de um Campo do Pre-Sal” (UNICAMP/Shell Brazil/ANP) funded by Shell Brazil, under the ANP R&D levy as “Compromisso de Investimentos com Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento”. The authors also thank Schlumberger and CMG for software licenses and Vitor Ferreira for helping with the PN-DCA method.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus