Title
Flood hazard maps in Matucana village under climate change scenarios
Date Issued
01 January 2014
Access level
open access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
IAHS Press
Abstract
Possible effects of climate change on floods magnitude and effects are discussed in this document based on existing data and projected changes in precipitation until 2099. This methodology is applied to Matucana Village, which suffers the effects of floods and debris flows. First, historical peak precipitation, fitted to Gumbeldistribution, was used, After that, percentage projected changes of precipitation were used to obtain the new mean precipitation to each period 2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099; these mean precipitations define a new Gumbel distribution for every time period. Then, projected maximal precipitations to 100 years of return period are estimated and the corresponding peak flow hydrographs were built. Finally, hazard maps are plotted. This application is possible because Matucana is located in a climatologically homogeneous basin. The final results suggest an important increase in magnitude and affected area by floods in the next 90 years under the Al FI emission scenario. Copyright © 2014 IAHS Press.
Start page
171
End page
175
Volume
364
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería civil
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84904815799
ISBN
9781907161421
Source
IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports
Resource of which it is part
IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports
ISSN of the container
01447815
ISBN of the container
9781907161421
Conference
Bologna IAHS 2014 - 6th IAHS-EGU International Symposium on Integrated Water Resources Management 4 June 2014 through 6 June 2014
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus