Title
Measuring the advantages of multivariate vs. univariate forecasts
Date Issued
01 January 2007
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Publisher(s)
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Abstract
Suppose we are interested in forecasting a time series and, in addition to the time series data, we have data from many time series related to the one we want to forecast. Since building a dynamic multivariate model for the set of time series can be a complex task, it is important to measure in advance the increase in precision to be attained by using multivariate forecasts with respect to univariate ones. This article presents a simple procedure designed to obtain a consistent estimate of this measure. Its performance is illustrated with Monte Carlo simulations and examples. © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Start page
886
End page
909
Volume
28
Issue
6
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Estadísticas, Probabilidad
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-35348831686
Source
Journal of Time Series Analysis
ISSN of the container
01439782
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus