Title
Global to regional scale evaluation of adaptation measures to reduce the future water gap
Date Issued
01 February 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Straatsma M.
Droogers P.
Hunink J.
Berendrecht W.
Buitink J.
Karssenberg D.
Schmitz O.
Sutanudjaja E.H.
van Beek L.P.H.
Vitolo C.
Bierkens M.F.P.
Imperial College London
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Ltd
Abstract
The global water gap, water demand minus water supply, is expected to increase through 2100, negatively affecting agriculture, industry and households. Adaptation measures are necessary, but projections on their effectiveness and costs are currently unavailable. Here, we present an adaptation evaluation framework aimed at closing the water gap, which is applied offline at the global scale, and made available for regional decision making as a web service. It includes climate change and socioeconomic scenarios over the 21st century as drivers for global projections of water supply and demand. The transient water gap was calculated for 1604 water provinces globally and we determined the water gap reduction that could be achieved by three increasingly involved sets of adaptation measures. The median annual adaptation costs amount to 1.4–1.6% of the GDP per affected water province. The interactive web-based simulation allows users to include information that is not available at the global scale.
Volume
124
Number
104578
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85074669926
Source
Environmental Modelling and Software
ISSN of the container
13648152
Sponsor(s)
The authors acknowledge the ISI-MIP intercomparison project for providing the bias-corrected meteorological data of five global circulation models. This project was partly funded by EIT's Climate-KIC program: for Water2Invest, reference number APIN0027 . This study’s calculations with PCR-GLOBWB were computed on the Dutch national supercomputer Cartesius, with the support of SURFsara. The two reviewers are gratefully acknowledged their time and high-quality feedback, which significantly improved the manuscript. Author contributions: MWS, PD, RvB, MB designed the research; MWS, WBe, JB, WBu, OS, PD, DK, ES, CV, RvB implemented parts of the model code; MWS, JB, JH analyzed the data; MWS, MB, DK wrote the paper; MWS, MB, JH, JB, PD wrote the supplemental information. Appendix A European Institute of Innovation and Technology - EIT
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus