Title
Application of three independent consequential LCA approaches to the agricultural sector in Luxembourg
Date Issued
01 September 2013
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Rege S.
Marvuglia A.
Thénie J.
Haurie A.
Benetto E.
Resource Centre for Environmental Technologies
Abstract
Purpose: Consequential Life Cycle Assessment (C-LCA) is a "system modelling approach in which activities in a product system are linked so that activities are included in the product system to the extent that they are expected to change as a consequence of a change in demand". Hence, C-LCA focuses on micro-economic actions linked to macro-economic consequences, by identifying the (marginal) suppliers and technologies prone to be affected by variable scale changes in the demand of a product. Detecting the direct and indirect environmental effects due to changes in the production system is not an easy task. Hence, researchers have combined the consequential perspective with different econometric models. Therefore, the aim of this study is to assess an increase in biocrops cultivation in Luxembourg using three different consequential modelling approaches to understand the benefits, drawbacks and assumptions linked to each approach as applied to the case study selected. Methods: Firstly, a partial equilibrium (PE) model is used to detect changes in land cultivation based on the farmers' revenue maximisation. Secondly, another PE model is proposed, which considers a different perspective aiming at minimising a total adaptation cost (so-called opportunity cost) to satisfy a given new demand of domestically produced biofuel. Finally, the consequential system delimitation for agricultural LCA approach, as proposed by Schmidt (Int J Life Cycle Assess 13:350-364, 2008), is applied. Results and discussion: The two PE models present complex shifts in crop rotation land use changes (LUCs), linked to the optimisation that is performed, while the remaining approach has limited consequential impact on changes in crop patterns since the expert opinion decision tree constitutes a simplification of the ongoing LUCs. However, environmental consequences in the latter were considerably higher due to intercontinental trade assumptions recommended by the experts that were not accounted for in the economic models. Environmental variations between the different scenarios due to LUCs vary based on the different expert- or computational-based assumptions. Finally, environmental consequences as compared with the current state-of-the-art are lame due to the limited impact of the shock within the global trade market. Conclusions: The use of several consequential modelling approaches within the same study may help widen the interpretation of the advantages or risks of applying a specific change to a production system. In fact, different models may not only be good alternatives in terms of comparability of scenarios and assumptions, but there may also be room for complementing these within a unique framework to reduce uncertainties in an integrated way. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
Start page
1593
End page
1604
Volume
18
Issue
8
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Agricultura Agronomía
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84884354210
Source
International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment
ISSN of the container
16147502
Sponsor(s)
Acknowledgements This research article was developed thanks to funding from the National Research Fund (FNR) in the frame of the LUCAS project. The authors would like to thank Mr. Gérard Conter, Mr. Romain Reding and Dr. Martina Arenz. Finally, Dr. Thomas Dandres is also acknowledged for his aid when running GTAP for the case study presented in this manuscript. Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University. Fonds National de la Recherche Luxembourg.
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