Title
Predictors of stroke within 30 days in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes
Date Issued
01 December 2006
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Westerhout C.M.
Steyerberg E.W.
Bueno H.
White H.
Théroux P.
Moliterno D.J.
Armstrong P.W.
Califf R.M.
Wallentin L.C.
Simoons M.L.
Boersma E.
Erasmus University Medical Center
Abstract
Aims: Stroke is an uncommon but serious complication after non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). We aimed to identify predictors of stroke within 30 days in patients who suffered NSTE-ACS. Methods and results: We pooled data from six trials (n=31 402) that randomized NSTE-ACS patients either to platelet glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa receptor blockers or to placebo/control therapy. Potential predictors of stroke included treatment, demographic, and clinical characteristics. We identified predictors using univariable and multivariable logistic models, and their performance was evaluated with calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test) and discrimination (c-statistic). We found 228 (0.7%) all-cause strokes: 155 (0.5%) non-haemorrhagic, 20 (0.06%) haemorrhagic, and 53 without computed tomography (CT) confirmation. Patients with any type of stroke had a 30-day mortality of 25%. Randomization to GP IIb/IIIa receptor blockers was not significantly associated with all-cause stroke [OR (95% CI) 1.08 (0.83-1.41)]. Older age [OR per 10-year increase 1.5 (1.3-1.7)], prior stroke [2.1 (1.4-3.1)], and elevated heart rate [per 10-beat increase 1.1 (1.0-1.2)] were the strongest predictors of 30-day all-cause stroke. Similar predictors were found for non-haemorrhagic and haemorrhagic strokes. Smoking, previous myocardial infarction, diabetes, and hypertension were not independent predictors of all-cause stroke. The multivariable model to predict all-cause stroke was well calibrated, but its discrimination was only moderate [c-statistic 0.69 (0.65-0.72)]. Conclusion: Stroke is a rare complication occurring early after NSTE-ACS, but is associated with high mortality. We found no evidence that GP IIb/IIIa receptor blockers increase stroke risks. A few clinical characteristics predicted higher stroke risks. Thus, incident strokes in NSTE-ACS patients remain largely unexplained. © The European Society of Cardiology 2006. All rights reserved.
Start page
2956
End page
2961
Volume
27
Issue
24
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Neurología clínica
Sistema cardiaco, Sistema cardiovascular
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-33845683059
PubMed ID
Source
European Heart Journal
ISSN of the container
15229645
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus