Title
Risk maps for cities: Incorporating streets into geostatistical models
Date Issued
01 November 2018
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Rose E.B.
Lee K.
Roy J.A.
Small D.
Ross M.E.
University of Pennsylvania
University of Pennsylvania
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Ltd
Abstract
Vector-borne diseases commonly emerge in urban landscapes, and Gaussian field models can be used to create risk maps of vector presence across a large environment. However, these models do not account for the possibility that streets function as permeable barriers for insect vectors. We describe a methodology to transform spatial point data to incorporate permeable barriers, by distorting the map to widen streets, with one additional parameter. We use Gaussian field models to estimate this additional parameter, and develop risk maps incorporating streets as permeable barriers. We demonstrate our method on simulated datasets and apply it to data on Triatoma infestans, a vector of Chagas disease in Arequipa, Peru. We found that the transformed landscape that best fit the observed pattern of Triatoma infestans infestation, approximately doubled the true Euclidean distance between neighboring houses on different city blocks. Our findings may better guide control of re-emergent insect populations.
Start page
47
End page
59
Volume
27
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Arquitectura y urbanismo Historia, Arqueología
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85053796256
PubMed ID
Source
Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology
ISSN of the container
18775845
Sponsor(s)
This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health 5T32AI007532 and 5R01AI101229 .
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus