Title
Conditional predictive inference for beta regression model with autoregressive errors
Date Issued
01 January 2015
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Ferreira G.
Navarrete J.
de Castro M.
Universidad de Concepción
Publisher(s)
Springer New York LLC
Abstract
In this chapter, we study a partially linear model with autoregressive beta distributed errors [6] from the Bayesian point of view. Our proposal also provides a useful method to determine the optimal order of the autoregressive processes through an adaptive procedure using the conditional predictive ordinate (CPO) statistic [9]. In this context, the linear predictor of the beta regression model g(μt ) incorporates an unknown smooth function for the auxiliary time covariate t and a sequence of autoregressive errors ∊t , i.e., for t = 1, . . . , T , where xt is a k × 1 vector of nonstochastic explanatory variable values and β is a k × 1 fixed parameter vector. Furthermore, these models have a convenient hierarchical representation allowing to us an easily implementation of a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) scheme.We also propose to modify the traditional conditional predictive ordinate (CPO) to obtain what we call the autoregressive CPO, which is computed for each new observation using only the data from previous time periods.
Start page
357
End page
366
Volume
118
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Estadísticas, Probabilidad
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84924025872
Source
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics
Resource of which it is part
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics
ISSN of the container
21941009
ISBN of the container
978-331912453-7
Conference
12th Brazilian Meeting on Bayesian Statistics, EBEB 2014
Sponsor(s)
Guillermo Ferreira would like to thank the support from ECOS-CONICYT C10E03 and partial financial support from DIUC grant 213.014.021-1.0, established by the Universidad de Concepción. Luis M. Castro acknowledges funding support from FONDECYT (Grant 1130233) form the Chilean government and Grant 2012/19445-0 from Fundaç˜ao de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP-Brazil). Mário de Castro is partially supported by CNPq, Brasil.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus