Title
Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994-2006
Date Issued
01 January 2008
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Cambridge University Press
Abstract
The weekly number of dengue cases in Peru, South America, stratified by province for the period 1994-2006 were analysed in conjunction with associated demographic, geographic and climatological data. Estimates of the reproduction number, moderately correlated with population size (Spearman ρ = 0.28, P = 0.03), had a median of 1.76 (IQR 0.83-4.46). The distributions of dengue attack rates and epidemic durations follow power-law (Pareto) distributions (coefficient of determination >85%, P < 0.004). Spatial heterogeneity of attack rates was highest in coastal areas followed by mountain and jungle areas. Our findings suggest a hierarchy of transmission events during the large 2000-2001 epidemic from large to small population areas when serotypes DEN-3 and DEN-4 were first identified (Spearman ρ = -0.43, P = 0.03). The need for spatial and temporal dengue epidemic data with a high degree of resolution not only increases our understanding of the dynamics of dengue but will also generate new hypotheses and provide a platform for testing innovative control policies. © 2008 Cambridge University Press.
Start page
1667
End page
1677
Volume
136
Issue
12
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Epidemiología
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-56349103647
PubMed ID
Source
Epidemiology and Infection
ISSN of the container
09502688
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus