Title
Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea
Date Issued
30 March 2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Gutiérrez-Fernández J.
González-Alemán J.J.
de la Vara A.
Cabos W.
Sein D.V.
Gaertner M.Á.
Publisher(s)
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
Abstract
Cyclones with tropical characteristics called medicanes (“Mediterranean Hurricanes”) eventually develop in the Mediterranean Sea. They have large harmful potential and a correct simulation of their evolution in climate projections is important for an adequate adaptation to climate change. Different studies suggest that ocean–atmosphere coupled models provide a better representation of medicanes, especially in terms of intensity and frequency. In this work, we use the regionally-coupled model ROM to study how air-sea interactions affect the evolution of medicanes in future climate projections. We find that under the RCP8.5 scenario our climate simulations show an overall frequency decrease which is more pronounced in the coupled than in the uncoupled configuration, whereas the intensity displays a different behaviour depending on the coupling. In the coupled run, the relative frequency of higher-intensity medicanes increases, but this is not found in the uncoupled simulation. Also, this study indicates that the coupled model simulates better the summer minimum in the occurrence of medicanes, avoiding the reproduction of unrealistically intense events that can be found in summer in the uncoupled model.
Start page
2226
End page
2238
Volume
41
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas
Investigación climática
Subjects
DOI
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85097557792
Source
International Journal of Climatology
ISSN of the container
08998418
Sponsor(s)
This work has been funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, the Spanish State Research Agency and the European Regional Development Fund, through grant CGL2017‐89583‐R. The first author has been supported through the predoctoral fellowship 2019/5964 by the University of Castilla‐La Mancha and the European Social Fund and the second author was funded through PhD Grant BES‐2014‐067905 by the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and University, and cofunded by the European Social Fund. Dmitry V. Sein was supported by the state assignment of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of Russia in the framework of theme No. 0149‐2019‐0015.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus