Title
Predictive Model of Student Academic Performance from LMS data based on Learning Analytics
Date Issued
22 October 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Association for Computing Machinery
Abstract
The present research aims to implement a predictive model in the KNIME platform to analyze and compare the prediction of academic performance using data from a Learning Management System (LMS), identifying students at academic risk in order to generate timely and timely interventions. The CRISP-DM methodology was used, structured in six phases: Problem analysis, data analysis, data understanding, data preparation, modeling, evaluation and implementation. Based on the analysis of online learning behavior through 22 behavioral indicators observed in the LMS of the Faculty of Educational Sciences of the National University of San Agustin. These indicators are distributed in five dimensions: Academic Performance, Access, Homework, Social Aspects and Quizzes. The model has been implemented in the KNIME platform using the Simple Regression Tree Learner training algorithm. The total population consists of 30,000 student records from which a sample of 1,000 records has been taken by simple random sampling. The accuracy of the model for early prediction of students' academic performance is evaluated, the 22 observed behavioral indicators are compared with the means of academic performance in three courses. The prediction results of the implemented model are satisfactory where the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the first course was 3. 813 and with an accuracy of 89.7%, the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the second course was 2.809 with an accuracy of 94.2% and the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the third course was 2.779 with an accuracy of 93.8%. These results demonstrate that the proposed model can be used to predict students' future academic performance from an LMS data set.
Start page
13
End page
19
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias de la computación
Educación general (incluye capacitación, pedadogía)
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85124692608
ISBN
9781450385114
Resource of which it is part
ACM International Conference Proceeding Series
ISBN of the container
978-145038511-4
Conference
ACM International Conference Proceeding Series
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus