Title
Validation of a prediction score for drug-resistant microorganisms in community-acquired pneumonia
Date Issued
01 February 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Ceccato A.
Mendez R.
Ewig S.
de la Torre M.C.
Gabarrus A.
Prina E.
Ranzani O.T.
Ferrer M.
Almirall J.
Menendez R.
Torres A.
Hospital Clinic de Barcelona
Publisher(s)
American Thoracic Society
Abstract
Rationale: Recommended initial empiric antimicrobial treatment covers the most common bacterial pathogens; however, communityacquired pneumonia (CAP) may be caused by microorganisms not targeted by this treatment. Developed in 2015, the PES (Pseudomonas aeruginosa, extended-spectrum b-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae, and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus) score was developed in 2015 to predict the microbiological etiology of CAP caused by PES microorganisms. Objective: To validate the usefulness of the PES score for predicting PES microorganisms in two cohorts of patients with CAP from Valencia and Mataŕo. Methods: We analyzed two prospective observational cohorts of patients with CAP from Valencia and Mataŕo. Patients in the Mataŕo cohort were all admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU). Results: Of the 1,024 patients in the Valencia cohort, 505 (51%) had a microbiological etiology and 31 (6%) had a PES microorganism isolated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.81 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.74-0.88). For a PES score >5, sensitivity, specificity, the negative and positive predictive values as well as the negative and positive likelihood ratios were 72%, 74%, 98%, 14%, 0.38, and 2.75, respectively. Of the 299 patients in the Mataŕo cohort, 213 (71%) had a microbiological etiology and 11 (5%) had a PES microorganism isolated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.73 (95% CI 0.61-0.86). For a PES score>5, sensitivity, specificity, the negative and positive predictive values, and the negative and positive likelihood ratios were 36%, 83%, 96%, 11%, 0.77, and 2.09, respectively. The best cutoff for patients admitted to the ICU was 4 points, which improved sensitivity to 86%. The hypothetical application of the PES score showed high rates of overtreatment in both cohorts (26%and 35%, respectively) and similar rates of undertreatment. Conclusions: The PES score showed good accuracy in predicting the risk for microorganisms that required different empirical therapy; however, its use as a single strategy for detecting noncore pathogens could lead to high rates of overtreatment. Given its high negative predictive value, the PES score may be used as a first step of a wider strategy that includes subsequent advanced diagnostic tests.
Start page
257
End page
265
Volume
18
Issue
2
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Farmacología, Farmacia Enfermedades infecciosas Sistema respiratorio
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85092395299
PubMed ID
Source
Annals of the American Thoracic Society
ISSN of the container
23296933
Sponsor(s)
Funding text Supported by Centro de Investigacíon Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias and Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer. C.C. is the recipient of a postdoctoral grant (Strategic Plan for Research and Innovation in Health grant 2016–2020) and a Sociedad Española de Neumología y Cirugía Torácica 2018 fellowship. The funding sources had no role in the design or conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, or interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus