Title
Maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic volatility in mean models with heavy-tailed distributions
Date Issued
01 July 2017
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Universidad Federal de Río de Janeiro
Publisher(s)
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
Abstract
In this article, we introduce a likelihood-based estimation method for the stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) model with scale mixtures of normal (SMN) distributions. Our estimation method is based on the fact that the powerful hidden Markov model (HMM) machinery can be applied in order to evaluate an arbitrarily accurate approximation of the likelihood of an SVM model with SMN distributions. Likelihood-based estimation of the parameters of stochastic volatility models, in general, and SVM models with SMN distributions, in particular, is usually regarded as challenging as the likelihood is a high-dimensional multiple integral. However, the HMM approximation, which is very easy to implement, makes numerical maximum of the likelihood feasible and leads to simple formulae for forecast distributions, for computing appropriately defined residuals, and for decoding, that is, estimating the volatility of the process. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Start page
394
End page
408
Volume
33
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Estadísticas, Probabilidad
Ingeniería industrial
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85014885519
Source
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
ISSN of the container
15241904
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus