Title
The New Keynesian framework for a small open economy with structural breaks: Empirical evidence from Peru
Date Issued
01 September 2018
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Elsevier B.V.
Abstract
We present evidence from Peru that the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Dynamic IS and Taylor Rule derived by Galí and Monacelli (2005) are unstable. The results from methodology of Bai and Perron (1998, 2003) suggest that the change of the policy rule (January 2006 and May 2009) induces a break in the inflation process (January 2008) and in the market equation (October 2008); the latter due to the existence of nominal frictions and incomplete information in the Peruvian economy. Moreover, results from the estimation of the method of Qu and Perron (2007) reaffirm that there are breaks in the entire reduced system (May 2008 and May 2010). In both cases, the channel of expectations is strengthened since 2008 and it is related to changes in the monetary policy during those years. Furthermore, we also discuss and estimate the presence of the nominal exchange rate in the policy rule.
Start page
13
End page
25
Volume
46
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía
Econometría
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85044965042
Source
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics
ISSN of the container
0954349X
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus