Title
Forecasting of Meteorological Weather Time Series Through a Feature Vector Based on Correlation
Date Issued
01 January 2019
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Springer Verlag
Abstract
Nowadays, the impacts of climate change are harming many countries around the world. For this reason, the scientific community is interested in improving methods to forecast weather events, so it is possible to avoid people from being injured. One important thing in the development of time series forecasting methods is to consider the set of values over time that facilitates the prediction of future value. In this sense, we propose a new feature vector based on the correlation and autocorrelation functions. These measures reflect how the observations of a time series are related to each other. Then, univariate forecasting is performed using Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep neural network. Finally, we compared the new model with linear and non-linear models. Reported results exhibit that MLP and LSTM models using the proposed feature vector, they show promising results for univariate forecasting. We tested our method on a real-world dataset from the Fisher weather station (Harvard Forest).
Start page
542
End page
553
Volume
11678 LNCS
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias de la computación Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85072859647
Source
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Resource of which it is part
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
ISSN of the container
03029743
ISBN of the container
9783030298876
Conference
18th International Conference on Computer Analysis of Images and Patterns, CAIP 2019
Sponsor(s)
The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to FONDECYT, which is an initiative of the National Council of Science, Technology and Technological Innovation (CONCYTEC), for promoting and financing collaborative research through the research circle N◦148-2015-FONDECYT.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus