Title
Influence of PBL parameterization schemes in WRF_ARW model on short - range precipitation's forecasts in the complex orography of Peruvian Central Andes
Date Issued
01 March 2020
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Ltd
Abstract
The study evaluated the sensitivity of the precipitation forecast in the central Andes of Peru of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to change the planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes. In that region is located the Mantaro basin, which is one of the most important in the region. Here, the rainfall is very important to the agriculture and to the reserves of drinking water. The simulations were carried out with ten PBL schemes for 19 days in January, February, and March, between 2009 and 2012. Based on the statistical analysis (model vs. observation), the more efficient schemes were determined and analyses of the vertical profiles of some variables are shown. As a result, the schemes that most helped the model in rainfall forecasting were MYNN3 (general and north sector of the basin), Bou-Lac (central sector) and Bretherton-Park (southern sector). The model generally overestimated rainfall in the northern basin, underestimated in the center, and in the south some schemes overestimated and others underestimated. In addition, it was concluded that the boundary layer is more stable in the model than in the observations. The schemes that generated the most rainfall were those that generated a more unstable boundary layer with weaker wind speeds, at least with easterly winds. Another conclusion is that the height of the boundary layer for rainy days in the region at 18 UTC oscillates around 1000 m and that, generally, the wind's velocity changes very little or decreases within the boundary layer and increases above it.
Volume
233
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos Geografía física
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85074146538
Source
Atmospheric Research
ISSN of the container
01698095
Sponsor(s)
This research was funded by FONDECYT, CONCYTEC, Peru (grants 010-2017-FONDECYT).Present study comes under the project “MAGNET-IGP: Strengthening the research line in physics and microphysics of the atmosphere (Agreement N° 010-2017-FONDECYT)”. We would like to thank the FONDECYT, CONCYTEC, Peru, for financial support and Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA) for administrative support. This work was done using computational resources, HPC-Linux Cluster, from Laboratorio de Dinámica de Fluidos Geofísicos Computacionales at Instituto Geofísico del Perú (grants 101-2014-FONDECYT, SPIRALES2012 IRD-IGP, Manglares IGP-IDRC, PP068 program. We would also like to thank NCEP for FNL analysis data and SENAMHI for observational precipitation data. This research was funded by FONDECYT , CONCYTEC , Peru (grants 010-2017-FONDECYT ). Present study comes under the project “MAGNET-IGP: Strengthening the research line in physics and microphysics of the atmosphere (Agreement N° 010-2017-FONDECYT)”. We would like to thank the FONDECYT , CONCYTEC , Peru, for financial support and Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA) for administrative support. This work was done using computational resources, HPC-Linux Cluster, from Laboratorio de Dinámica de Fluidos Geofísicos Computacionales at Instituto Geofísico del Perú (grants 101-2014-FONDECYT, SPIRALES2012 IRD-IGP, Manglares IGP-IDRC, PP068 program. We would also like to thank NCEP for FNL analysis data and SENAMHI for observational precipitation data.
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