Title
Performance analysis of unorganized machines in streamflow forecasting of Brazilian plants
Date Issued
01 July 2018
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Universidad Estatal de Campinas
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Ltd
Abstract
This work performs an extensive investigation about the application of unorganized machines – extreme learning machines and echo state networks – to predict monthly seasonal streamflow series, associated to three important Brazilian hydroelectric plants, for many forecasting horizons. The aforementioned models are neural network architectures which present efficient and simple training processes. Moreover, the selection of the best inputs of each model is carried out by the wrapper method, using three different evaluation criteria, and three filters, viz., those based on the partial autocorrelation function, the mutual information and the normalization of maximum relevance and minimum common redundancy method. This study also establishes a comparison between the unorganized machines and two classical models: the partial autoregressive model and the multilayer perceptron. The computational results demonstrate that the unorganized machines, especially the echo state networks, represent efficient alternatives to solve the task.
Start page
494
End page
506
Volume
68
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias de la computación
Ingeniería eléctrica, Ingeniería electrónica
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85045652871
Source
Applied Soft Computing Journal
ISSN of the container
15684946
Sponsor(s)
This work was supported by grants from Coordination for the Improvement of Higher or Education Personnel (CAPES) and Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq).
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus