Title
Influence of ENSO and tropical Atlantic climate variability on flood characteristics in the Amazon basin
Date Issued
07 July 2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Towner J.
Ficchí A.
Cloke H.L.
Coughlan De Perez E.
Stephens E.M.
Publisher(s)
Copernicus GmbH
Abstract
Flooding in the Amazon basin is frequently attributed to modes of large-scale climate variability, but little attention is paid to how these modes influence the timing and duration of floods despite their importance to early warning systems and the significant impacts that these flood characteristics can have on communities. In this study, river discharge data from the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS 2.1) and observed data at 58 gauging stations are used to examine whether positive or negative phases of several Pacific and Atlantic indices significantly alter the characteristics of river flows throughout the Amazon basin (1979-2015). Results show significant changes in both flood magnitude and duration, particularly in the north-eastern Amazon for negative El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases when the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly is positioned in the central tropical Pacific. This response is not identified for the eastern Pacific index, highlighting how the response can differ between ENSO types. Although flood magnitude and duration were found to be highly correlated, the impacts of large-scale climate variability on these characteristics are non-linear; some increases in annual flood maxima coincide with decreases in flood duration. The impact of flood timing, however, does not follow any notable pattern for all indices analysed. Finally, observed and simulated changes are found to be much more highly correlated for negative ENSO phases compared to the positive phase, meaning that GloFAS struggles to accurately simulate the differences in flood characteristics between El Niño and neutral years. These results have important implications for both the social and physical sectors working towards the improvement of early warning action systems for floods.
Start page
3875
End page
3895
Volume
25
Issue
7
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85109378033
Source
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN of the container
1027-5606
Sponsor(s)
Financial support. This research has been supported by the Nat- Acknowledgements. The first author is grateful for additional travel support and funding provided by the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre. A special thanks goes to the observational and national services SO-HYBAM, IRD, SENAMHI, ANA, and INAMHI for providing observed river discharge data and advice throughout the preparation of the manuscript.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus