Title
Social contact patterns and implications for infectious disease transmission: A systematic review and meta-analysis of contact surveys
Date Issued
01 November 2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Mousa A.
Winskill P.
Watson O.J.
Ratmann O.
Monod M.
Ajelli M.
Diallo A.
Dodd P.J.
Grijalva C.G.
Kiti M.C.
Krishnan A.
Kumar R.
Kumar S.
Kwok K.O.
De Waroux O.L.P.
Leung K.
Mahikul W.
Melegaro A.
Morrow C.D.
Mossong J.
Neal E.F.
Nokes D.J.
Pan-Ngum W.
Potter G.E.
Russell F.M.
Saha S.
Sugimoto J.D.
Wei W.I.
Wood R.R.
Wu J.T.
Zhang J.
Walker P.G.
Whittaker C.
Publisher(s)
eLife Sciences Publications Ltd
Abstract
Background: Transmission of respiratory pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 depends on patterns of contact and mixing across populations. Understanding this is crucial to predict pathogen spread and the effectiveness of control efforts. Most analyses of contact patterns to date have focussed on high-income settings. Methods: Here, we conduct a systematic review and individual-participant meta-analysis of surveys carried out in low- and middle-income countries and compare patterns of contact in these settings to surveys previously carried out in high-income countries. Using individual-level data from 28,503 participants and 413,069 contacts across 27 surveys we explored how contact characteristics (number, location, duration and whether physical) vary across income settings. Results: Contact rates declined with age in high- and upper-middle-income settings, but not in low-income settings, where adults aged 65+ made similar numbers of contacts as younger individuals and mixed with all age-groups. Across all settings, increasing household size was a key determinant of contact frequency and characteristics, but low-income settings were characterised by the largest, most intergenerational households. A higher proportion of contacts were made at home in low-income settings, and work/school contacts were more frequent in high-income strata. We also observed contrasting effects of gender across income-strata on the frequency, duration and type of contacts individuals made. Conclusions: These differences in contact patterns between settings have material consequences for both spread of respiratory pathogens, as well as the effectiveness of different non-pharmaceutical interventions.
Volume
10
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Enfermedades infecciosas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85120920571
PubMed ID
Source
eLife
ISSN of the container
2050-084X
Sponsor(s)
Commonwealth and Development Office. K.O.K acknowledges support by CUHK Direct grant for
A.M., P.W., P.G.T.W. and C.W acknowledge joint Centre funding from the UK Medical Research
This work is primarily being funded by joint Centre funding from the UK Medical Research Council and DFID (MR/R015600/1).
Funding: This work is primarily being funded by joint Centre funding from the UK Medical Research
M.A. has received research funding from Seqirus outside the submitted work. G.E.P. was employed
Council and DFID (MR/R015600/1). O.J.W. acknowledges funding from the UK Foreign
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus