Title
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: Overview of its technical-commercial viability
Date Issued
01 February 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
review
Author(s)
Vasconcelos Sampaio P.G.
Monteiro de Vasconcelos R.
Santos M.A.T.d.
Jácome Vidal P.d.C.
Pereira J.P.P.
Santi E.
Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Brazil
Publisher(s)
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
Abstract
There are many technologies that may emerge and eventually disappear over the years. This fact makes the monitoring of technological trends as well as the anticipation of the direction of technological change paramount. This article aims to carry out the prospection of technologies, focusing on its technical-commercial viability, for solar photovoltaic energy. The research method had a qualititative-quantitative approach with application of the Delphi technique. In the conduction of the Delphi technique, seven steps were followed, ranging from the selection of the specialists to the considerations of their opinions regarding the future of nine photovoltaic technologies. The results of the research indicate that in 2020, the cells monocrystalline, multicrystalline, and amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper selenide, indium, and gallium diselenide; and multicompound III-V cells will have technical and commercial viability and that dye-sensitized silicon nanowire and carbon nanostructure-based cells will not be viable. For the year 2025, monocrystalline and multicrystalline silicon cells and those of multicompounds III-V will still be technically and commercially viable. Silicon nanowire; amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper, selenium, and gallium diselenide dye-sensitized cells; and organic photovoltaic cells, including those based on carbon nanostructure, may be viable. This study is important, because the technological prospecting of the photovoltaic cells determines the possible trajectories of these cells, in a way that helps the companies of the sector to anticipate the strategic scenarios, thus facilitating the decision making process.
Start page
651
End page
668
Volume
44
Issue
2
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería del Petróleo, (combustibles, aceites), Energía, Combustibles
Subjects
DOI
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85075004780
Source
International Journal of Energy Research
ISSN of the container
0363-907X
Sponsor(s)
This study was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior—Brasil (CAPES)—Finance Code 001.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus