Title
Design and evaluation of strategies for the aggregate planning of a company dedicated to the manufacture of canned fish in Ancash - Peru
Other title
[Diseño y evaluación de estrategias para el planeamiento agregado de una empresa dedicada a la fabricación de conservas de pescado en Ancash - Perú]
Date Issued
01 January 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions
Abstract
The research was intended to describe the design and evaluation of strategies for the aggregate planning of a company dedicated to the manufacture of fish canned goods. To this end, descriptive research was carried out with a longitudinal non-experimental design. The results demonstrated a high variability in the behaviour of sales, typical of the Peruvian fishing sector, and when analyzing different forecast alternatives it was chosen to use a series breakdown, with a multiplicative model and seasonal length of 6 periods; which presented the lowest absolute average percentage error compared to other quantitative methods. The initial evaluation of the aggregate plans determined that a demand pursuit strategy generated the lowest value of total costs, as it was estimated at $334,957; while the leveling strategy reached a value of $385,275 and the use of an overtime strategy amounting to $376,056. Similarly, plans were evaluated using production ratios and it was determined that a demand pursuit strategy would employ $2.33 per cash produced, while overtime and leveling plans had higher amounts and would reach between $2.37 and $2.63 per cash produced, respectively. On the other hand, simulations by Monte Carlo's method showed that in 10,000 different sales scenarios, there was a 95.10% chance that, following a demand pursuit strategy, costs do not exceed $311,753. In addition, a further 10,000 random sales cases were simulated and it was established that the pursuit plan, in contrast to the overtime strategy, would generate lower costs per cash produced, with a 95.04% probability that the difference will exceed the $0.05/cash produced. Finally, through a design and evaluation of strategies for aggregate planning, it was concluded that a demand pursuit strategy would optimize production costs in a company dedicated to the manufacture of fish canned in Ancash - Peru.
Language
Spanish
OCDE Knowledge area
Relaciones Industriales Negocios, Administración
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85096803795
ISBN of the container
9789585207141
Conference
Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus