Title
El Nin±o - Related precipitation variability in Perú
Date Issued
01 January 2008
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
European Geosciences Union
Abstract
The relationship between monthly mean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the commonly used El Nin±o regions and precipitation for 44 stations in Perú is documented for 1950-2002. Linear lag correlation analysis is employed to establish the potential for statistical precipitation forecasts from SSTs. Useful monthly mean precipitation anomaly forecasts are possible for several locations and calendar months if SST anomalies in El Nin±o 1+2, Nin±o 3.4, and Nin±o 4 regions are available. Prediction of SST anomalies in El Nin±o regions is routinely available from Climate Prediction Center, NOAA, with reasonable skill in the El Nin±o 3.4 region, but the prediction in El Nin±o 1+2 region is less reliable. The feasibility of using predicted SST anomalies in the El Nin±o 3.4 region to predict SST anomalies in El Nin±o 1+2 region is discussed.
Start page
231
End page
237
Volume
14
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Investigación climática
Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-42149119042
Source
Advances in Geosciences
ISSN of the container
16807340
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus