Title
The role of credit supply shocks in pacific alliance countries: A TVP-VAR-SV approach
Date Issued
01 April 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Inc.
Abstract
This paper analyzes the effect of loan supply shocks on the real economic activity of Pacific Alliance countries using a Time-Varying Parameter VAR with Stochastic Volatility (TVP-VAR-SV) model which is identified by sign restrictions. Two main results arise from the analysis. First, loan supply shocks have an important impact on real economic activity in all Pacific Alliance countries: about 1% in Colombia, Mexico, and Peru, and about 0.5% in Chile. Thus, its contribution to business cycle fluctuations is similar to that of aggregate supply shocks and aggregate demand shocks in both stability and slowdown periods. Second, the power of loan supply shocks to affect economic activity do not remain constant over the time and its evolution across periods is heterogeneous among all Pacific Alliance countries. The sensitivity analysis indicates that the results of the model are robust to different priors specifications and to multiple sets of sign restrictions.
Volume
52
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85077142873
Source
North American Journal of Economics and Finance
ISSN of the container
10629408
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus