Title
Space-time fractional porous media equation: Application on modeling of S&P500 price return
Date Issued
01 November 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
University of Sydney
Publisher(s)
American Physical Society
Abstract
We present the fractional extensions of the porous media equation (PME) with an emphasis on the applications in stock markets. Three kinds of "fractionalization"are considered: local, where the fractional derivatives for both space and time are local; nonlocal, where both space and time fractional derivatives are nonlocal; and mixed, where one derivative is local, and another is nonlocal. Our study shows that these fractional equations admit solutions in terms of generalized q-Gaussian functions. Each solution of these fractional formulations contains a certain number of free parameters that can be fitted with experimental data. Our focus is to analyze stock market data and determine the model that better describes the time evolution of the probability distribution of the price return. We proposed a generalized PME motivated by recent observations showing that q-Gaussian distributions can model the evolution of the probability distribution. Various phases (weak, strong super diffusion, and normal diffusion) were observed on the time evolution of the probability distribution of the price return separated by different fitting parameters [Phys. Rev. E 99, 062313 (2019)1063-651X10.1103/PhysRevE.99.062313]. After testing the obtained solutions for the S&P500 price return, we found that the local and nonlocal schemes fit the data better than the classic porous media equation.
Volume
104
Issue
5
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía, Negocios
Matemáticas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85121225279
PubMed ID
Source
Physical Review E
ISSN of the container
24700045
DOI of the container
10.1103/PhysRevE.104.054140
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus