Title
Using remote sensing and modeling techniques to investigate the annual parasite incidence of malaria in Loreto, Peru
Date Issued
01 October 2017
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Publisher(s)
Elsevier Ltd
Abstract
Between 2001 and 2010 significant progress was made towards reducing the number of malaria cases in Peru; however, the country saw an increase between 2011 and 2015. This work attempts to uncover the associations among various climatic and environmental variables and the annual malaria parasite incidence in the Peruvian region of Loreto. A Multilevel Mixed-effects Poisson Regression model is employed, focusing on the 2009–2013 period, when trends in malaria incidence shifted from decreasing to increasing. The results indicate that variations in elevation (β = 0.78; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.75–0.81), soil moisture (β = 0.0021; 95% CI, 0.0019–0.0022), rainfall (β = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.56–0.61), and normalized difference vegetation index (β = 2.13; 95% CI, 1.83–2.43) is associated with higher annual parasite incidence, whereas an increase in temperature (β = -0.0043; 95% CI, − 0.0044-− 0.0041) is associated with a lower annual parasite incidence. The results from this study are particularly useful for healthcare workers in Loreto and have the potential of being integrated within malaria elimination plans.
Start page
423
End page
438
Volume
108
Language
English
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85007395780
Source
Advances in Water Resources
ISSN of the container
03091708
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus