Title
Randomized controlled trials with time-to-event outcomes: How much does prespecified covariate adjustment increase power?
Date Issued
01 January 2006
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Erasmus University Medical Center
Abstract
PURPOSE: We evaluated the effects of various strategies of covariate adjustment on type I error, power, and potential reduction in sample size in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with time-to-event outcomes. METHODS: We used Cox models in simulated data sets with different treatment effects (hazard ratios [HRs] = 1, 1.4, and 1.7), covariate effects (HRs = 1, 2, and 5), covariate prevalences (10% and 50%), and censoring levels (no, low, and high). Treatment and a single covariate were dichotomous. We examined the sample size that gives the same power as an unadjusted analysis for three strategies: prespecified, significant predictive, and significant imbalance. RESULTS: Type I error generally was at the nominal level. The power to detect a true treatment effect was greater with adjusted than unadjusted analyses, especially with prespecified and significant-predictive strategies. Potential reductions in sample size with a covariate HR between 2 and 5 were between 15% and 44% (covariate prevalence 50%) and between 4% and 12% (covariate prevalence 10%). The significant-imbalance strategy yielded small reductions. The reduction was greater with stronger covariate effects, but was independent of treatment effect, sample size, and censoring level. CONCLUSIONS: Adjustment for one predictive baseline characteristic yields greater power to detect a true treatment effect than unadjusted analysis, without inflation of type I error and with potentially moderate reductions in sample size. Analysis of RCTs with time-to-event outcomes should adjust for predictive covariates. © 2006 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Start page
41
End page
48
Volume
16
Issue
1
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Políticas de salud, Servicios de salud
Estadísticas, Probabilidad
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-28944433350
PubMed ID
Source
Annals of Epidemiology
ISSN of the container
10472797
Sponsor(s)
A.V.H. was supported by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (ZON/MW 908-02-117) and E.W.S. was supported by the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus