cris.boxmetadata.label.title
Stochastic volatility in mean models with scale mixtures of normal distributions and correlated errors: A Bayesian approach
cris.boxmetadata.label.dateissued
01 browse.startsWith.months.may 2011
cris.boxmetadata.label.accesslevel
metadata only access
cris.boxmetadata.label.resourcetype
journal article
cris.boxmetadata.label.authors
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
cris.boxmetadata.label.abstract
A stochastic volatility in mean model with correlated errors using the symmetrical class of scale mixtures of normal distributions is introduced in this article. The scale mixture of normal distributions is an attractive class of symmetric distributions that includes the normal, Student-t, slash and contaminated normal distributions as special cases, providing a robust alternative to estimation in stochastic volatility in mean models in the absence of normality. Using a Bayesian paradigm, an efficient method based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is developed for parameter estimation. The methods developed are applied to analyze daily stock return data from the São Paulo Stock, Mercantile & Futures Exchange index (IBOVESPA). The Bayesian predictive information criteria (BPIC) and the logarithm of the marginal likelihood are used as model selection criteria. The results reveal that the stochastic volatility in mean model with correlated errors and slash distribution provides a significant improvement in model fit for the IBOVESPA data over the usual normal model. © 2010 Elsevier B.V.
cris.boxmetadata.label.citationstartpage
1875
cris.boxmetadata.label.citationendpage
1887
cris.boxmetadata.label.volume
141
cris.boxmetadata.label.issue
5
cris.boxmetadata.label.language
English
cris.boxmetadata.label.ocdeknowledgeArea
Física de partículas, Campos de la Física
Otras ingenierías y tecnologías
cris.boxmetadata.label.subjects
cris.boxmetadata.label.doi
cris.boxmetadata.label.scopusidentifier
2-s2.0-78751701148
cris.boxmetadata.label.source
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
cris.boxmetadata.label.containerissn
03783758
cris.boxmetadata.label.sponsor
We would like to thank the Executive Editor and an anonymous referee for their useful comments, which improved the quality of this paper. The research of Carlos A. Abanto-Valle was supported by CNPq . Helio S. Migon was supported by CNPq and CAPES/FAPERJ-PRONEX . V.H. Lachos acknowledges financial support from FAPESP and CNPq .
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