Title
Predicting residence time using a continuous-time discrete-space model of leatherback turtle satellite telemetry data
Date Issued
01 March 2019
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Hoover A.L.
Liang D.
Mangel J.C.
Miller P.I.
Morreale S.J.
Bailey H.
Shillinger G.L.
University of Exeter
Publisher(s)
Wiley-Blackwell
Abstract
The utilization and capabilities of biotelemetry are expanding enormously as technology and access rapidly improve. These large, correlated datasets pose statistical challenges requiring advanced statistical techniques to appropriately interpret and model animal movement. We used satellite telemetry data of critically endangered Eastern Pacific leatherback turtles (Dermochelys coriacea) to develop a habitat-based model of their motility (and conversely residence time) using a hierarchical Bayesian framework, which could be broadly applied across species. To account for the spatiotemporally auto-correlated, unbalanced, and presence-only telemetry observations, in combination with dynamic environmental variables, a novel modeling approach was applied. We expanded a Poisson generalized linear model in a continuous-time discrete-space (CTDS) model framework to predict individual leatherback movement based on environmental drivers, such as sea surface temperature. Population-level movement estimates were then obtained with a Bayesian approach and used to create monthly, near real-time predictions of Eastern Pacific leatherback movement in the South Pacific Ocean. This model framework will inform the development of a dynamic ocean management model, “South Pacific TurtleWatch (SPTW),” and could be applied to telemetry data from other populations and species to predict motility and residence times in dynamic environments, while accounting for statistical uncertainties arising at multiple stages of telemetry analysis.
Volume
10
Issue
3
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Biología marina, Biología de agua dulce, Limnología
Biotecnología ambiental
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85080991756
Source
Ecosphere
Sponsor(s)
Financial support for South Pacific TurtleWatch came from the Cinco Hermanos Fund, Marisla Foundation, and The Resources Legacy Fund. Leatherback tagging data were provided by many sources, and many collaborators contributed to those individual projects. Among others, these included Kristin Reed, Scott Eckert, Scott Benson, Barbara Block, Stanford University, personnel from the Block Lab and the Tagging of Pacific Pelagics (TOPP), and staff from Las Baulas National Marine Park (Ministerio de Ambiente y Energía de Costa Rica) and The Leatherback Trust. We thank Peter Dutton and Laura Sarti for contributing leatherback tracking data. South Pacific TurtleWatch would not have been possible without support from Upwell; Block Lab of Stanford University; DEFRA Darwin Initiative, UK; Marine Turtle Research Group; University of Exeter; National Fish and Wildlife Foundation; and NOAA's Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, and Pacific Islands Regional Office. We thank NASA, NOAA, and the E.U. Copernicus Marine Services Information for providing satellite data, especially staff from the Environmental Research Division including Steven Bograd, Elliott Hazen, and Lynn DeWitt for hosting, updating, and providing assistance on the ERDDAP interface. Merged microwave and infrared SST data were provided by Remote Sensing Systems (www.remss.com). Lastly, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science's Graduate Education Committee's Graduate Education Fellowship provided student research funding.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus