Title
Trend and change point analyses of annual precipitation in the Souss-Massa Region in Morocco during 1932–2010
Date Issued
01 November 2018
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Abahous H.
Ronchail J.
Kenny L.
Bouchaou L.
Sorbonne Université
Publisher(s)
Springer-Verlag Wien
Abstract
In the context of an arid area such as Souss Massa Region, the availability of time series analysis of observed local data is vital to better characterize the regional rainfall configuration. In this paper, dataset of monthly precipitation collected from different local meteorological stations during 1932–2010, are quality controlled and analyzed to detect trend and change points. The temporal distribution of outliers shows an annual cycle and a decrease of their number since the 1980s. The results of the standard normal homogeneity test, penalized maximal t test, and Mann-Whitney-Pettit test show that 42% of the series are homogeneous. The analysis of annual precipitation in the region of Souss Massa during 1932–2010 shows wet conditions with a maximum between 1963 and 1965 followed by a decrease since 1973. The latter is identified as a statistically significant regional change point in Western High Atlas and Anti Atlas Mountains highlighting a decline in long-term average precipitation.
Start page
1153
End page
1163
Volume
134
Issue
April 3
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias del medio ambiente
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85035127278
Source
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
ISSN of the container
0177798X
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus