Title
Regime shifts and inflation uncertainty in Peru
Date Issued
01 January 2012
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Taylor and Francis Ltd.
Abstract
The link between inflation and inflation uncertainty is evaluated using Peruvian data, in a context of changing monetary policies because of regime shifts. A Markov regime-switching heteroskedasticity model that includes unobserved components is used. The model shows how periods of high (low) inflation accompany periods of high (low) short- and long-run uncertainty in inflation. The results of the model also illustrate how, during the recent period of price stability in Peru, both permanent and transitory shocks in inflation show a decrease in volatility. Finally, a time-varying measure of inflation uncertainty is derived from the estimates, giving additional evidence on the positive link between the level of inflation and its uncertainty. © 2012 Universidad del CEMA.
Start page
71
End page
87
Volume
15
Issue
1
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84862488876
Source
Journal of Applied Economics
ISSN of the container
15140326
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus