Title
Modeling and prediction of a multivariate photovoltaic system, using the multiparametric regression model with Shrinkage regularization and eXtreme Gradient Boosting
Date Issued
01 January 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions
Abstract
Alternative energy systems have more frequently been acquiring a fundamental role in the generation of energy that promotes the development of countries in social, economic, and environmental terms. For the efficient operation of photovoltaic systems (SFV), it is necessary to make predictions about their operation, turning them into intelligent systems. The present work proposes the collection, modeling, and prediction of a multivariate SFV, using a multiparametric regression model, presenting five regression models with machine learning: three that use Shrinkage regularization and two that use eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Results obtained, we note that the five predictions have determination coefficients higher than 99.47%; being XGBoost with n_estimators = 500 which reduces the root mean square error by about 55%. Likewise, in all cases, the test times are less than 1 second. The results were validated so that they not only have mathematical significance, but are also real, showing that XGBoost with n_estimators = 10 does not meet the five validation conditions, so this prediction model should not be considered.
Volume
2021-July
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Otras ingenierías y tecnologías Ingeniería del Petróleo, (combustibles, aceites), Energía, Combustibles
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85122024013
Source
Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology
Resource of which it is part
Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology
ISSN of the container
24146390
ISBN of the container
9789585207189
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus