Title
Early stopping of randomized clinical trials for overt efficacy is problematic
Date Issued
01 March 2008
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
review
Author(s)
Mayo Clinic
Publisher(s)
Elsevier
Abstract
Objective: To illustrate controversial issues associated with stopping randomized controlled trials (RCTs) early for apparent benefit. Study Design and Setting: The article presents our review of prior relevant work and our research group's reflections on early stopping. Results: Compelling evidence suggests that trials stopped early for benefit systematically overestimate treatment effects, sometimes by a large amount. Unresolved controversies in trials stopped early for benefit include ethical and statistical problems in the interpretation of results. Conclusions: The best strategy to minimize the problems associated with early stopping of RCTs for benefit is not to stop early. As an alternative, we suggest a threefold approach: a low P-value as the threshold for stopping at the time of interim analyses, not to look before a sufficiently large number of events has accrued and continuation of enrollment and follow-up for a further period. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Start page
241
End page
246
Volume
61
Issue
3
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Epidemiología
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-38349177944
PubMed ID
Source
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
ISSN of the container
0895-4356
Sponsor(s)
We wish to thank the UK MRC for supporting our ongoing work on the impact of early stopping of trials. Matthias Briel is supported by a grant from the Swiss National Science Foundation.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus