Title
Calibration and validation of the Pneumonia Shock Score in critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, a multicenter prospective cohort study
Date Issued
2022
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Carmo T.A.
Ferreira I.B.B.
Menezes R.C.
Pina M.L.T.
Oliveira R.S.
Telles G.P.
Machado A.F.A.
Aguiar T.C.
Caldas J.R.
Akrami K.M.
Filgueiras Filho N.M.
Andrade B.B.
Multinational Organization Network Sponsoring Translational and Epidemiological Research Initiative
Publisher(s)
Frontiers Media S.A.
Abstract
Background: Prognostic tools developed to stratify critically ill patients in Intensive Care Units (ICUs), are critical to predict those with higher risk of mortality in the first hours of admission. This study aims to evaluate the performance of the pShock score in critically ill patients admitted to the ICU with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods: Prospective observational analytical cohort study conducted between January 2020 and March 2021 in four general ICUs in Salvador, Brazil. Descriptive statistics were used to characterize the cohort and a logistic regression, followed by cross-validation, were performed to calibrate the score. A ROC curve analysis was used to assess accuracy of the models analyzed. Results: Six hundred five adult ICU patients were included in the study. The median age was 63 (IQR: 49–74) years with a mortality rate of 33.2% (201 patients). The calibrated pShock-CoV score performed well in prediction of ICU mortality (AUC of 0.80 [95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.77–0.83; p-value < 0.0001]). Conclusions: The pShock-CoV score demonstrated robust discriminatory capacity and may assist in targeting scarce ICU resources during the COVID-19 pandemic to those critically ill patients most likely to benefit.
Volume
9
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Epidemiología
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85137664426
Source
Frontiers in Medicine
ISSN of the container
2296858X
Sponsor(s)
The work of BA was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazil. RM received a fellowship from the Programa Nacional de Pós-Doutorado/Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (PNPD/CAPES). Fogarty International Center and National Institute of Child Health and Human Development of the National Institutes of Health under (Award Number D43 TW009763 through a research scholarship awarded to MA), MA and TC (scientific initiation with Award Number: PPSUS/BA-FAPESB003/2017/SESAB/CNPq/MS 5125/2017) received a fellowship from the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado da Bahia (FAPESB).
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus