Title
Power demand forecasting through social network activity and artificial neural networks
Date Issued
27 January 2017
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Abstract
Long-term and short-term term national power demand forecasting is a well known and open issue for many countries. In this paper, we focus and study the short-term Peruvian national power demand forecasting. Thus, we tackle this problem using indirect and direct method for prediction. The former method relies on Social Network Activity to estimate national needs using regression models. The latter method is based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). The network was used subsequently for predictions of the power for the last day of April, May and June 2016. The result was highly satisfactory with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.36 % for April and 0.34% in May and June. The ANN cumulative model proved to be a fast, reliable and accurate method for predicting power demand in Peril. In the case of the social activity generated by tweets, there is an increase in the MAPE values of an order of magnitude, reaching a maximum value of 7.3% for June. Nevertheless, the power demand forecasting using Twitter posts is a good indicator as a first approximation.
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias de la computación Ingeniería de sistemas y comunicaciones
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85015226237
ISBN
9781509025312
Resource of which it is part
Proceedings of the 2016 IEEE ANDESCON, ANDESCON 2016
ISBN of the container
9781509025312
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus