Title
Evaluation of Early Action Mechanisms in Peru Regarding Preparedness for El Niño
Date Issued
01 December 2019
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Beijing Normal University Press
Abstract
In this article, we provide an impact evaluation of an intervention in Peru regarding preparedness for El Niño impacts in Picsi District of Chiclayo Province in Peru’s northwestern coastal Lambayeque region. This effort involved the provision of special kits that reduce the potential damage to homes as a consequence of rainfall and floods associated with an El Niño-Southern Oscillation event. Information was collected in 2016 when this Forecast-based Financing early action was activated by an El Niño forecast, and after a coastal El Niño actually struck in 2017. This dual database permits us to estimate the impact of the intervention on the damage level of homes by comparing those homes supported by the program with those homes not receiving pilot-program support. This comparison is achieved by using propensity score matching techniques, which identify the most comparable homes to the ones that were supported by the intervention. The main findings of the study suggest a positive impact of the program in terms of its effectiveness in mitigating the damage caused by the 2017 El Niño. These results suggest a drop in the scale of house damage (less damage) by around 63% for a home that received the modular kit treatment. When considering other specifications of the model, the decrease in the scale of house damage improves up to approximately 66%.
Start page
493
End page
510
Volume
10
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Geografía económica y cultural
Economía
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85077160015
Source
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
ISSN of the container
20950055
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus