Title
Dynamics of bed bug infestations and control under disclosure policies
Date Issued
01 January 2019
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Xie S.
Hill A.L.
Rehmann C.R.
University of Pennsylvania
Publisher(s)
National Academy of Sciences
Abstract
Bed bugs have reemerged in the United States and worldwide over recent decades, presenting a major challenge to both public health practitioners and housing authorities. A number of municipalities have proposed or initiated policies to stem the bed bug epidemic, but little guidance is available to evaluate them. One contentious policy is disclosure, whereby landlords are obligated to notify potential tenants of current or prior bed bug infestations. Aimed to protect tenants from leasing an infested rental unit, disclosure also creates a kind of quarantine, partially and temporarily removing infested units from the market. Here, we develop a mathematical model for the spread of bed bugs in a generalized rental market, calibrate it to parameters of bed bug dispersion and housing turnover, and use it to evaluate the costs and benefits of disclosure policies to landlords. We find disclosure to be an effective control policy to curb infestation prevalence. Over the short term (within 5 years), disclosure policies result in modest increases in cost to landlords, while over the long term, reductions of infestation prevalence lead, on average, to savings. These results are insensitive to different assumptions regarding the prevalence of infestation, rate of introduction of bed bugs from other municipalities, and the strength of the quarantine effect created by disclosure. Beyond its application to bed bugs, our model offers a framework to evaluate policies to curtail the spread of household pests and is appropriate for systems in which spillover effects result in highly nonlinear cost–benefit relationships.
Start page
6473
End page
6481
Volume
116
Issue
13
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía Administración pública
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85063929697
PubMed ID
Source
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN of the container
00278424
Sponsor(s)
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. We thank the other participants in the workshop “Socio-Spatial Ecology of the Bed Bug and its Control”—Claudia Arevalo, Dawn Biehler, Stephen Billings, Warren Booth, Ludovica Gazze, Andrew Greenlee, Kate Hacker, Loren Henderson, Sara McLafferty, Daniel Schneider, Shannon Sked, and Chris Sutherland—for discussions that helped shape this paper. This work was supported by the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center under funding received from National Science Foundation Grant DBI-1639145. A.L.H. was supported by Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Grant OPP1148627 and National Institutes of Health Grant DP5OD019851, M.Z.L. was supported by NIH National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease Grant 5R01 AI101229, and S.X. was supported by NIH National Heart Lung and Blood Institute Grant F31 HL142153. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute F31 HL142153 NHLBI NIH Office of the Director DP5OD019851 OD National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases 5R01 AI101229 NIAID
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